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Extreme Unusual Attitudes

A site about Superforecasting for Ex-Dart-Throwing Chimps

A dart

What is Superforecasting?

Superforecasting is a programme devised by Philip Tetlock, and is described in his book, Superforecasting: The Art & Science of Prediction.

Basically, it is about how to become a better forecaster of events through precision and discipline. This web site is designed to help you in attaining that goal.

You can read more about superforecasting in the About page of this site, or my blog entry, Superforecasting Will Become the Next Big Thing Unless It Doesn’t.

N.B. - You must be logged in to use Extreme Unusual Attitudes. If you are not a member, you can become one easily. Visit the Registration page.


Recent Forecasts

User TagQuestionProbability
Brad Clinton Wins Nomination? 0.90
Brad Clinton Wins Nomination? 0.90
Brad UK General Election in 2016 0.40
Brad GBP/EUR >= 1.35 on 31/07/2016 0.05
Brad 2016 Warmest Year Ever? 0.95

New Questions

TagQuestion Abbreviation
Q029 UK Labour Party split in two before 2017?
Q030 UK Conservative Party split in two before 2017?
Q027 Teresa May Next UK Prime Minister
Q028 Pound/Euro Below 1.10 Before End 2016
Q026 UK General Election in 2016